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Open Interest Clues to Next Week

Last week here along with the SPY open interest notes, I shared my thoughts that I did not believe the lows were in yet. The open interest turned out to be very helpful (as it usually is) because when SPY traded above the high calls for Wednesday’s expiration (which happened to also be technical resistance) […]

What Open Interest Says About Next Week

Two weeks ago here, I wrote that if the SPX gaps filled it was a good buying opportunity. Then last week here, I wrote that the market would likely grind higher once again and possibly break new highs after the Wednesday SPY expiration. Yes, yes and yes! Open Interest: SPY-W: (29 of 37 pins since Wednesday […]

April OPEX

Last week here I laid out reasons why both the bulls and bears should curb their enthusiasm. The open interest suggested that price action would likely be rangebound, with a slight edge to the bulls. As the week progressed and the market moved lower, the open interested shifted a bit not giving much of an […]

A Tight Range with a Slightly Bullish Bias (Says the OI)

Last week here I discussed that the overall trend was still higher, but that bulls needed to “curb their enthusiasm” as there were a lot of open calls that would act as resistance for both the Wednesday and Friday SPY expiration. I then updated that during the week over twitter with the message that bears should […]

Bulls Should Curb their Enthusiasm Next Week

Last week here I summed things up with: “Currently, the market is near or already oversold and likely to bounce soon if that has not already begun late Friday. Should price immediately go lower it will become even more oversold and not a place to initiate shorts.” Furthermore, I discussed that the open interest suggested that the […]

A Trend Change? What the Open Interest Says for Next Week

Last week here I stated that the edge continued to remain with the bulls, but that I expected a slow and rangebound week. Obviously, I was wrong in that I didn’t see the range breaking to the downside; however, minus the drop on Tuesday, the rest of the week was definitely slow and rangebound. I also […]

Does the Energizer Bull Have any Battery Left?

Last week here I suggested that there was likely a new high to be made. That indeed worked out, but for the first time in a while some cracks* began to show late in the week. I am not ready to call for a pullback and would not be surprised to see another new high […]

How Open Interest Can Signal a Trend Change

Last week here I stated “there is no reason not to expect another new high to be made as the edge continues to reside with the bulls.” That worked out nicely and I am now making a similar statement regarding next week. There is one wild card that can derail the bull run (namely Trump addressing Congress […]

Important Lessons From Last Week – Delta Hedging & Options

Last week was a good example of what can happen when price begins to fall through heavy put strikes and something that short term traders should be aware of even if they don’t trade options. Last week here, I posted the open interest for the start of the week which had a more bullish look […]

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