Last week SPX saw a level it hasn’t seen since the first month of the year. There was only one pin last week; however, it’s important to note that none of the large levels of either puts or calls were violated. Monday and Friday weren’t perfect pins, but they did fall within the large heavily […]
Last week here I laid out the three open interest ranges for SPY expirations. In general it was a non-eventful week in that all three expirations pinned as you can see below. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert […]
Last week was full of rangebound chop and the result was a pin on all three expirations which you can see at the bottom of this post. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert – if you want an […]
Last week the bulls held control as price closed over all the high calls for each expiration. Next week is monthly options expiration. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert – if you want an alert you need to […]
Hope everyone had a lovely holiday. Last week the free weekly post was off, but you can see below that all three expirations for SPY did indeed pin. In fact, those that either belong to my service or took it upon themselves to look at Friday’s open interest would have known the high likelihood of […]
Last week here we had three expirations that didn’t give much in the way of a “best pin,” but did offer information about where there would be high put support and/or call resistance. I mentioned the high puts at 276 for Friday’s expiration and said that upon a first touch or break of that it […]
Last week here I showed the thee open interest ranges for SPY. They shifted a bit during the week with Monday and Wednesday both pinning. Wednesday actually landed right on the high calls, which demonstrated a lot of strength and lo and behold that strength continued into Friday and closed above the high calls. If […]
Last week here we had 3 different ranges to gauge where SPY would likely not close on each expiration day. Even after undercutting the Tuesday high puts, by expiration all the puts fell back out of the money. Bottom line, the ranges worked and are always very helpful to know because they offer buy or […]
If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert – if you want an alert you need to be a subscriber) sent to your mailbox Monday morning. Last week we were off, but two weeks ago was $FB and it was […]
If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade idea sent to your mailbox Monday morning. Last week we were off, but two weeks ago was $AMZN and if you took the trade it was a MASSIVE winner. The stats for the weekly freebie […]
Last week here I gave the the three SPY open interest charts which pretty much suggested a rangebound market. Not only was it rangebound, but all three expirations pinned almost perfectly. That’s a market that doesn’t have strong buyers or sellers. You can see their pins at the bottom of this post. If you have […]
Last week here there was definitely a bias for both some upside (given the high 262 puts) as well as a bit of a rangebound market because of Friday’s expiration. In the end the Monday open interest failed to keep prices up, but the down move did provide a great buying opportunity for Wednesday’s pin. […]
Last week here I showed the several open interests for SPY expiration and for the most part there was lots of put support. I described what can happen if that put support didn’t hold (delta hedging), but it didn’t come to that as it held and price stayed above. If you were shorting before those […]
Last week here we had three SPY expirations, but the most important one was Friday’s because it was monthly expiration. The Monday expiration pinned well, the Wednesday was so so, but the Friday one was what really affected price. SPY got as high as 280.41 last week and if you read my post you knew […]
What you could learn from last weeks rare open interest: Last week here I discussed that SPY 273 was likely a magnet, but that it probably would not pin there. I described how you could use the type of open interest we had (a rare open interest) to determine the type of trading environment we […]
Lessons you can learn from last weeks open interest: Last week here I showed three SPY expirations as we now have Monday expiration. I showed where the best Monday pin would be, but said that if we opened and held over 275 that it was a go with and it likely wouldn’t pin. That indeed […]
Last week here I outlined the levels of high puts and calls that would likely act as support or resistance respectively. I also mentioned the possibility of a 270 SPY pin for Wednesday. Although the price action Wednesday morning was tricky to see 270 was still a possibility, if you were looking for the correct […]
Last week here I discussed that there were more puts in the open interest and that if price could stay over them then there was a lot of room higher. I discussed that 266 was a bit of an inflection point which is right where price stalled on both Monday and Tuesday. Once it cleared […]
Last week here I showed the SPY open interest which had lots of puts lined up, but with price underneath many of them. I said we would likely see changes to the open interest as the week pborgress and we certainly did. As the week progressed the puts kept growing. Every day that we couldn’t hold […]
Last week here I discussed the high calls a 280 and mentioned that if price got and held above it it was not worth fighting. Indeed price flew above that level at the start of the week and never looked back. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so […]
Last week here I discussed that it was monthly OPEX and thus, the obvious pin which was way below price would likely fail. I also said that should price fall back to SPY 256 it was likely a good buy opportunity (that information was not based on the open interest, but technical analysis). Price got to […]
I hope everyone had an amazing new year and trading week. If you didn’t you should consider subscribing below because weeks like this are as easy as they come and it’s not to late to make 2018 a great year. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below […]
Last week here I stated that if price were to open and hold above the high SPY calls of 260 next week to go with it and not fight it. If you did go with that then you were handsomely reward as SPY gained over 2% during the week. If you struggled to make gains […]
Hope everyone had a lovely Thanksgiving weekend. Open Interest: SPY-W: (48 of 63 pins since Wednesday expiration inception).* The only thing that sticks out is the high 260 calls. If price opens Monday over 260 or quickly gets over that level and doesn’t look back then you want to go with because it is showing great […]
Last week here I gave the basic SPY call and put parameters. Both Wednesday and Friday SPY did what it does best….pinned. Onto next week: Open Interest: SPY-W: (43/54 since Wednesday expiration inception).* The current best pin is between 249.5 and 250, but can easily change if there is decent price movement early in the week. […]
Last week here I stated the open interest favored higher prices and was “notably bullish.” I showed that there were no calls in the way of making new highs, something that doesn’t happen very often. And now here we are at all time highs. Open Interest: SPY-W: SPY-W: (36 of 44 pins since Wednesday expiration inception).* The current […]
It’s been a couple of weeks since I’ve posted, but in the meantime I have tweeted the weekly open interest for SPY charts and continue to keep track of them which you can view at the bottom. Open Interest: SPY-W: (35 of 43 pins since Wednesday expiration inception). Taken at face value this open interest is bullish […]
I’ve been on vacation for a bit, but I just got back so here is a very quick post for next week. Open Interest: SPY-W: (33 of 41 pins since Wednesday expiration inception).* This open interest is more bullish and currently suggests a pin of 234 to 244. With that said, there is very little call resistance […]
Two weeks ago here, I wrote that if the SPX gaps filled it was a good buying opportunity. Then last week here, I wrote that the market would likely grind higher once again and possibly break new highs after the Wednesday SPY expiration. Yes, yes and yes! Open Interest: SPY-W: (29 of 37 pins since Wednesday […]
Last week here I discussed that it would be difficult for SPY to stay over 240 based on the open interest for both Wednesday and Friday expiration. I also said that if SPY took out the lows from the previous week that it may be headed for both it’s gap fills and added that it was […]
Last week here I said SPX was likely to make a new high – Check ✅ (albeit by a very small amount). I also showed that both the Wednesday and Friday open interests had calls stacked at 240. Going into the week I believed that the right set-up existed for bulls to really push SPY over […]
Last week here I said the path of least resistance remained higher and that SPX was likely to make a new high in the coming weeks. I also discussed the heavy call resistance for both Wednesday and Friday’s expiration. In the end, the call resistance did hold SPY back for most of the week, but the […]
Last week here I laid out reasons why both the bulls and bears should curb their enthusiasm. The open interest suggested that price action would likely be rangebound, with a slight edge to the bulls. As the week progressed and the market moved lower, the open interested shifted a bit not giving much of an […]
Last week here I discussed that the overall trend was still higher, but that bulls needed to “curb their enthusiasm” as there were a lot of open calls that would act as resistance for both the Wednesday and Friday SPY expiration. I then updated that during the week over twitter with the message that bears should […]
Last week here I summed things up with: “Currently, the market is near or already oversold and likely to bounce soon if that has not already begun late Friday. Should price immediately go lower it will become even more oversold and not a place to initiate shorts.” Furthermore, I discussed that the open interest suggested that the […]
Last week here I stated that the edge continued to remain with the bulls, but that I expected a slow and rangebound week. Obviously, I was wrong in that I didn’t see the range breaking to the downside; however, minus the drop on Tuesday, the rest of the week was definitely slow and rangebound. I also […]
Last week here I wrote that the path of least resistance remained higher despite the possibility of remaining in a range. Importantly, I showed the Wednesday open interest and suggested that pullbacks to or under 237 would likely be bought. Thus, the pullback early in the week provided an excellent opportunity to get long into Wednesday. Below you […]
Last week here I made the case for a likely pullback/pause. Indeed, the market did pullback, but by the end of the week recovered some of its losses to close 10 points lower than last Friday. Next week is Quad witching/OPEX, which tends to have a bullish bias. Although I do think it’s possible for SPX to […]
Last week here I suggested that there was likely a new high to be made. That indeed worked out, but for the first time in a while some cracks* began to show late in the week. I am not ready to call for a pullback and would not be surprised to see another new high […]
Last week here I stated “there is no reason not to expect another new high to be made as the edge continues to reside with the bulls.” That worked out nicely and I am now making a similar statement regarding next week. There is one wild card that can derail the bull run (namely Trump addressing Congress […]
Last week here I wrote “For next week, if SPX stays below 1872, then assume all bounces should be sold and price is likely headed to 1850, and then near or below 1812.” Furthermore, I posted the open interest for SPY which suggested a close over 185 by Friday. Somehow, both things worked out even though […]
Last week was a good example of what can happen when price begins to fall through heavy put strikes and something that short term traders should be aware of even if they don’t trade options. Last week here, I posted the open interest for the start of the week which had a more bullish look […]
Note: I will be on Fox Business Tuesday at 4:00 pm so please tune in :-). Last week here I wrote that the most likely scenario would be a choppy start to the week followed by a rally in both equites and treasuries. That was right on and those prepared for it were paid handsomely. Keeping […]
Last week here I wrote “I took a look at every bullish weekly MACD signal cross since March 2009. In each of the 10 instances, the market continued to make higher highs the following week 100% of the time. Furthermore, in 9 of 10 instances the market also closed higher to end the week. The one instance […]
Last week here I wrote that the path of least resistance for the week ahead was higher, which played out nicely. This week, the same is true, yet as a short-term trader I am more cognizant of the psychology starting to shift regarding the current market place as I will explain. Last week, anecdotally speaking, my sense was […]
The statistics state that we are about to embark on the worst two months of the year for stock returns. I say rubbish. How great would it be if Wall Street was trying to enjoy their Hampton summer homes expecting dreadful market returns in June and July only to be met with fear of missing […]
All day long, WTF goes through my head. Musk had a mixed day…..TSLA taken out back, SCTY rises like the sun (except in NYC where it never rises anymore). PCLN almost did a round trip. Get it, “trip.” Ok never mind, lame I know. If you think you know something, you don’t. Or I don’t. […]
I am recycling pictures from last earnings. Honestly not sure why so many people went long TWTR before earnings. Not that I’m hating, but it wasn’t like they did anything meaningful to make me think metrics had changed. Plus even earnings beats have been beaten up this season. Anyway, if you are down, I am […]
SPY Open Interest for Mon, Wed, Friday for Week 11/19/18
If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert – if you want an entry and exit alert you need to be a subscriber) sent to your mailbox Monday morning. Below are the stats since weekly freebie began sending emails: 17 […]
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