Last week SPX saw a level it hasn’t seen since the first month of the year. There was only one pin last week; however, it’s important to note that none of the large levels of either puts or calls were violated. Monday and Friday weren’t perfect pins, but they did fall within the large heavily […]
Last week here I laid out the three open interest ranges for SPY expirations. In general it was a non-eventful week in that all three expirations pinned as you can see below. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert […]
Last week here we had three expirations that didn’t give much in the way of a “best pin,” but did offer information about where there would be high put support and/or call resistance. I mentioned the high puts at 276 for Friday’s expiration and said that upon a first touch or break of that it […]
Last week here I showed the thee open interest ranges for SPY. They shifted a bit during the week with Monday and Wednesday both pinning. Wednesday actually landed right on the high calls, which demonstrated a lot of strength and lo and behold that strength continued into Friday and closed above the high calls. If […]
If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade IDEA (not alert – if you want an alert you need to be a subscriber) sent to your mailbox Monday morning. Last week we were off, but two weeks ago was $FB and it was […]
If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so below to get next weeks free trade idea sent to your mailbox Monday morning. Last week we were off, but two weeks ago was $AMZN and if you took the trade it was a MASSIVE winner. The stats for the weekly freebie […]
Last week here I gave the the three SPY open interest charts which pretty much suggested a rangebound market. Not only was it rangebound, but all three expirations pinned almost perfectly. That’s a market that doesn’t have strong buyers or sellers. You can see their pins at the bottom of this post. If you have […]
Last week here I showed the several open interests for SPY expiration and for the most part there was lots of put support. I described what can happen if that put support didn’t hold (delta hedging), but it didn’t come to that as it held and price stayed above. If you were shorting before those […]
Last week here we had three SPY expirations, but the most important one was Friday’s because it was monthly expiration. The Monday expiration pinned well, the Wednesday was so so, but the Friday one was what really affected price. SPY got as high as 280.41 last week and if you read my post you knew […]
What you could learn from last weeks rare open interest: Last week here I discussed that SPY 273 was likely a magnet, but that it probably would not pin there. I described how you could use the type of open interest we had (a rare open interest) to determine the type of trading environment we […]
Lessons you can learn from last weeks open interest: Last week here I showed three SPY expirations as we now have Monday expiration. I showed where the best Monday pin would be, but said that if we opened and held over 275 that it was a go with and it likely wouldn’t pin. That indeed […]
Last week here I outlined the levels of high puts and calls that would likely act as support or resistance respectively. I also mentioned the possibility of a 270 SPY pin for Wednesday. Although the price action Wednesday morning was tricky to see 270 was still a possibility, if you were looking for the correct […]
Last week here I discussed that there were more puts in the open interest and that if price could stay over them then there was a lot of room higher. I discussed that 266 was a bit of an inflection point which is right where price stalled on both Monday and Tuesday. Once it cleared […]
Last week here I showed the SPY open interest which had lots of puts lined up, but with price underneath many of them. I said we would likely see changes to the open interest as the week pborgress and we certainly did. As the week progressed the puts kept growing. Every day that we couldn’t hold […]
Last week here I discussed the high calls a 280 and mentioned that if price got and held above it it was not worth fighting. Indeed price flew above that level at the start of the week and never looked back. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do so […]
Last week here I outlined that the open interest favored the bulls. I also stated that because of Wednesday’s open interest, should SPY get below 273, it was a buy. If you bought when SPY went to 272.92 your indeed did very well. If you have not yet subscribed to my weekly freebie you can do […]
Last week here I wrote that if SPY could not hold over 265 early in the week it was unlikely to get back over that level until at least after Wednesday expiration because of all the high calls. SPY closed under 265 on Monday and with that came a very small pullback, but SPY didn’t […]
Hope everyone had a lovely Thanksgiving weekend. Open Interest: SPY-W: (48 of 63 pins since Wednesday expiration inception).* The only thing that sticks out is the high 260 calls. If price opens Monday over 260 or quickly gets over that level and doesn’t look back then you want to go with because it is showing great […]
Last week here I showed the open interest for both Wednesday and Friday expiration and wrote that after two closes over the high calls it was likely that SPX would take some time to consolidate and was unlikely to close over the high calls again. SPX consolidated in a very strong tight range and indeed […]
Last week here I gave the basic SPY call and put parameters. Both Wednesday and Friday SPY did what it does best….pinned. Onto next week: Open Interest: SPY-W: (43/54 since Wednesday expiration inception).* The current best pin is between 249.5 and 250, but can easily change if there is decent price movement early in the week. […]
Last week here I showed where there would likely be call resistance on SPY prior to expiration. At the start of the week SPY blew through the high call resistance with strong breadth and never looked back. It was one of the first times in a while SPY was able to make such a leap […]
Last week here along with the SPY open interest notes, I shared my thoughts that I did not believe the lows were in yet. The open interest turned out to be very helpful (as it usually is) because when SPY traded above the high calls for Wednesday’s expiration (which happened to also be technical resistance) […]
Last week here I showed both the SPY Wednesday and Friday expiration. I pointed out the very good put support for Wednesday and the call resistance (248). I also pointed out that there was pretty much no put support for Friday. If you weren’t suspicious of the Tuesday morning up move (which blew through the […]
Last week here I displayed the SPY open interest for Wednesday and Friday. The Wednesday expiration pinned where I described the best pin to be. The Friday expiration changed mid-week, which I posted to twitter since the change was fairly significant and changed the odds of where Friday would close. Indeed Friday also resulted in a […]
Last week here I gave the SPY open interest range and also wrote that based on last Friday’s close higher prices were likely coming. I clearly laid out where there was put support and where there was call resistance – both got hit and rejected price. Knowing where SPY can go and will likely fail is […]
Last week here I stated the open interest favored higher prices and was “notably bullish.” I showed that there were no calls in the way of making new highs, something that doesn’t happen very often. And now here we are at all time highs. Open Interest: SPY-W: SPY-W: (36 of 44 pins since Wednesday expiration inception).* The current […]
It’s been a couple of weeks since I’ve posted, but in the meantime I have tweeted the weekly open interest for SPY charts and continue to keep track of them which you can view at the bottom. Open Interest: SPY-W: (35 of 43 pins since Wednesday expiration inception). Taken at face value this open interest is bullish […]
I’ve been on vacation for a bit, but I just got back so here is a very quick post for next week. Open Interest: SPY-W: (33 of 41 pins since Wednesday expiration inception).* This open interest is more bullish and currently suggests a pin of 234 to 244. With that said, there is very little call resistance […]
Two weeks ago here, I wrote that if the SPX gaps filled it was a good buying opportunity. Then last week here, I wrote that the market would likely grind higher once again and possibly break new highs after the Wednesday SPY expiration. Yes, yes and yes! Open Interest: SPY-W: (29 of 37 pins since Wednesday […]
Last week here I discussed that it would be difficult for SPY to stay over 240 based on the open interest for both Wednesday and Friday expiration. I also said that if SPY took out the lows from the previous week that it may be headed for both it’s gap fills and added that it was […]
Last week here I said SPX was likely to make a new high – Check ✅ (albeit by a very small amount). I also showed that both the Wednesday and Friday open interests had calls stacked at 240. Going into the week I believed that the right set-up existed for bulls to really push SPY over […]
Last week here I said the path of least resistance remained higher and that SPX was likely to make a new high in the coming weeks. I also discussed the heavy call resistance for both Wednesday and Friday’s expiration. In the end, the call resistance did hold SPY back for most of the week, but the […]
Last week there was no post, but in previous posts, both at the end of March and the beginning of April (see here) I continued to suggest that SPX would likely get to old highs or make new ones before a more meaningful correction took place. That has now been achieved as SPX went within 2 […]
Last week here I laid out reasons why both the bulls and bears should curb their enthusiasm. The open interest suggested that price action would likely be rangebound, with a slight edge to the bulls. As the week progressed and the market moved lower, the open interested shifted a bit not giving much of an […]
Last week here I discussed that the overall trend was still higher, but that bulls needed to “curb their enthusiasm” as there were a lot of open calls that would act as resistance for both the Wednesday and Friday SPY expiration. I then updated that during the week over twitter with the message that bears should […]
Last week here I summed things up with: “Currently, the market is near or already oversold and likely to bounce soon if that has not already begun late Friday. Should price immediately go lower it will become even more oversold and not a place to initiate shorts.” Furthermore, I discussed that the open interest suggested that the […]
Last week here I stated that the edge continued to remain with the bulls, but that I expected a slow and rangebound week. Obviously, I was wrong in that I didn’t see the range breaking to the downside; however, minus the drop on Tuesday, the rest of the week was definitely slow and rangebound. I also […]
Last week here I wrote that the path of least resistance remained higher despite the possibility of remaining in a range. Importantly, I showed the Wednesday open interest and suggested that pullbacks to or under 237 would likely be bought. Thus, the pullback early in the week provided an excellent opportunity to get long into Wednesday. Below you […]
Last week here I suggested that there was likely a new high to be made. That indeed worked out, but for the first time in a while some cracks* began to show late in the week. I am not ready to call for a pullback and would not be surprised to see another new high […]
Last week here I stated “there is no reason not to expect another new high to be made as the edge continues to reside with the bulls.” That worked out nicely and I am now making a similar statement regarding next week. There is one wild card that can derail the bull run (namely Trump addressing Congress […]
Last week here I wrote “For next week, if SPX stays below 1872, then assume all bounces should be sold and price is likely headed to 1850, and then near or below 1812.” Furthermore, I posted the open interest for SPY which suggested a close over 185 by Friday. Somehow, both things worked out even though […]
Last week here, I was bullish biased thinking the market wouldn’t do too much as it waited for the Fed, but that it would at least hold up due to all the puts that had potential to act as support. Instead price struggled from the start of the week to push over the puts and […]
Note: I will be on Fox Business Tuesday at 4:00 pm so please tune in :-). Last week here I wrote that the most likely scenario would be a choppy start to the week followed by a rally in both equites and treasuries. That was right on and those prepared for it were paid handsomely. Keeping […]
Last week here I wrote that the path of least resistance for the week ahead was higher, which played out nicely. This week, the same is true, yet as a short-term trader I am more cognizant of the psychology starting to shift regarding the current market place as I will explain. Last week, anecdotally speaking, my sense was […]
The bottom line is that there really isn’t that much new to say regarding the markets so I will keep this brief and highlight some things I think are important to keep track of as the chop continues. I’m seeing many people expect some type of resolution to this chop next week. It’s possible and […]
SPY Open Interest for Mon, Wed, Friday for Week 11/19/18
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