Last week we didn’t get caught chasing the market knowing that the odds did not favor a breakout, but did favor a swift sell-off which is what ended up happening. The market is still not trending frustrating everyone. As I noted in the open interest, next week is offering a similar set-up although rare to...
The bottom line is the trend is up. Next week is a shortened week and typically a bullish one. I looked at last years open interest charts and how each stock did during this week. (Note, this by no means is an indication of what will happen this year, but I thought it would at...
Simply stated the trend is up. Last week I wrote that my bias was for a bottom to be put in Wednesday and we got that exact thing. I am bullish for next week as you are aware and am holding IWM calls for a swing trade and looking for a breakout. The only thing I don’t...
Ok so my Rest In Peace V-bottom post a couple weekends ago was obviously a horrible title. The message within it was so far* pretty off in that I expected a drop back to the lows or lower lows after a decent size bounce. I certainly did not expect the bounce to take place so […]
Every once in a while preparation meets luck and magic happens. Yesterday afternoon I tweeted this to my subscribers This morning per my thoughts above I was patient and waited to see if we flushed. I know I could have been wrong, but easier to be wrong while waiting patiently on the sidelines instead […]
Guest post written by Jerremy Newsome: @newsomenuggets After reviewing the energy sector I came across NRG, which broke through strong resistance in March after two failed attempts in October (see arrows). Recently the stock has retraced its entire bullish wave {from March to late June} back to that support at $29.00. On August 19th a one […]
That is what the market was up to today. Good job to anyone that sold premium this morning. Yields going back down and supposedly banks are a tiny bit (as in barely) more loose with their lending so go get that mortgage. GRUB was a huge win yesterday in case you missed me bragging about […]
But….I met Josh Brown who is one of the nicest most dynamic men I have ever met and look forward to upcoming interactions with him. I got to meet Barry Ritholz for a second as well; a bonus to an already awesome experience. Now regarding the markets today. Meh. They staged a small bounce in the […]
Very interesting the way the sell-off happened today. The first time SPX was making new lows, but there was divergences with breadth and some momo stocks either going up or holding well. Second time was a bit more pronounced, but still not crazy heavy as we have seen before. As I’ve been saying one of […]
There is a bounce coming somewhere. We have had three sessions in a row with a negative 1400 $TICK and the charts I have been posting regarding being oversold are either at levels we bounce off or very close. However, as I said this weekend in my Post Where’s the Bounce Yo, it seems too many […]
And I find it so unfortunate that I was not in it and did not participate in the fun. Very slow start to the day that ended up going much higher. I’m not sure if it was pure buying or short covering, but either way it went up. If we continue higher tomorrow in the […]
All day long. Never fun when you are long positions. I am glad that I have been mostly staying away from short dated options. Maybe new month money comes in tomorrow for a decent rally? I think it could happen also taking into account being short-term oversold. Then the question is, have we seen the […]
Actually your eyes are probably on TWTR often, but this time I mean the stock not your feed. Very nice day overall for my positions. Kind of in a rush today so not going to update all the positions I’ve mentioned in my #SassyMusings. I did sell the QQQ calls from yesterday though which was […]
Ok let’s be honest, a strong bounce off lows this morning really isn’t any surprise. At least it shouldn’t be. Things definitely looked bearish this morning, but the bearish stuff I read all weekend was a little much. Seemed everyone was expecting a correction. I just can’t follow along when we are clearly in an […]
And the saga continues. Today was Z and TRLA. Man that had to have hurt. Very choppy day. Was a balancing day. Trend still bullish. However, with those small pullbacks we keep getting I say better to go out further out if using options. That way if you get stopped out there is still premium […]
If you had bought a ton of PBYI calls yesterday. Oh well! Regardless biotech in general is also doing nicely and there are a lot of names I am very interested in getting long. GILD can make that even better if they report well. Being patient for now. AAPL monster today and dips should be […]
So everyone eats burrito’s and CMG is a monster, while NFLX is just meh. I posted this morning that the risk for NFLX this week was to the downside based on below and that investors obviously weren’t that impressed. Next up, AAPL. Yes the bulls are still in charge. SPY went though the 198 calls and […]
Let the fireworks begin! CMG and NFLX – fun times!!! Market just hanging out as if it is waiting for the next catalyst to make a move. Earnings could potentially be that catalyst, but until we see a bigger move the trend remains intact. As I said over the weekend I am currently working under […]
In the scheme of things what the market did today really isn’t bad. We are still near all time highs; however, if you are holding call options it seems really bad. I definitely got hurt today. Luckily I have for the most part stayed very light (mentioned over the weekend and the last two weeks) Choppy action […]
Old tech is back! Actually it’s kind of been back this entire year. As long as I can make money off of it I don’t care. On Monday I couldn’t think of a good chart to post for my chart of the day so I thought I would give a set up that I had, MSFT– […]
Warm welcome to Wall Streets newest Street analyst, Janet Yellen. Banks have delivered this quarter and I’m pretty sure a lot of people are unhappy to see their theories get trashed. Given that much of what was sold off recovered by the end of the day, is anyone taking Yellen seriously or are they just […]
I wish I had something eye opening to say, but yeah ummm, I really don’t. I came in holding V and AAPL which I sold out of and kept a runner. I bought GRUB today and it looks good so far. Little bit of a fade toward the end of the day, but I am […]
…..I would be hopeless today. If I had come in a bull, I would have come in super annoyed that all my longs were down, but would probably have hopium that they come back (yet not actually thinking they would). Well I guess hopium worked….that or the PPT. I have been keeping things light and don’t […]
I’m not sure if the market is getting more boring or if my boredom levels are more sensitive. FB which I bought yesterday off the 50-day (I tweeted a chart of it yesterday) worked nicely. I’m out of the trade for now. So far the bounce I discussed on the Option House pre-market show today […]
I’m writing this before the close cause I have to leave early so if something crazy happened at the end of the day some of this won’t be relevant. My IWM call buys that I mentioned yesterday sure didn’t work. But boy am I glad I sold out of most of my long runners yesterday while […]
A bit of a healthy consolidation day. The selling was never heavy or panicky. I still think we will likely stay below those calls in the SPY open interest that I highlighted this weekend. The IWM not pretty today, but I actually bought calls at the end of the day near the 20-day. I’m thinking […]
This will be one of my worst posts, but it already feels like the holiday started. Bottom line, overbought or not things are still moving and I think if we keep going higher it won’t be so great for the market, but if we just consolidate sideways then really no reason to short just yet. […]
The only thing I posted publicly this weekend was this tweet: I was much more detailed to my subscribers and so far it was OK. Nothing breathtaking. I came in holding SINA as I mentioned last week in my SassyMusings. I bought GS and AAPL this morning. And I started position in BIDU and V […]
Well Team USA didn’t win, but whatever we qualified. I don’t have too much time today and am mentally exhausted so will keep this short. I’ve mentioned for two days that I really lightened up cause I thought we would go lower before higher and we did in fact do that, but barely so I […]
Well glad that my short term bearishness yesterday didn’t get the best of me. Good thing I’m not stubborn. I got stopped out of my FB puts early this morning for a loss and then got long a couple things. I am still leaning short term bearish, meaning I see the possibility of going lower […]
Well it was bound to happen. Can’t make money everyday. Well maybe you can, but I don’t. I’m kidding by the way regarding the title. Got stopped out of several stocks today. Some still in profit and some for a loss. The ones I think I mentioned yesterday I am basically all out of now. […]
Nothing to complain about here. Good day for us. I came in holding DDD and GOOGL calls. I bought FSLR right off the open when it was down and sold a 1/4 more of my swing calls that I bought when it was at 61. I sold the rest of my CELG. I stopped out […]
Never short it, Yo. Speaking of Yo, if you want to Yo me I’m as Sassyspy Great day to be long CELG, which I mentioned here two days ago. Of the other ones I mentioned here, GOOGL looks good, OWW looks good, YHOO – meh, and ABBV (mentioned on TWTR) – meh. If you want another […]
O-M-G, today, this week, this month, AMAZING!!! If you missed this latest move I’m sorry, but maybe you should take a minute and ask yourself why? Were you stubborn, just didn’t believe it, following someone else? I am not trying to sound like some master. I definitely am not. Anyone can make money in this […]
If the above was you, then I imagine you were short today. Some days a mixture of homework, preparation and luck just makes for a fantastic day. Today was one of those days. Had a huge day in TSLA, SPWR, TWTR, FSLR and TRLA (the last two of which I wrote that I bought last week […]
Another odd day when the indexes were dropping, but there were pockets of strength. To be honest, I didn’t even realize the indexes were dropping at first this morning cause pretty much all my stocks were going up. Unfortunately that changed, but luckily the damage wasn’t horrible for my stocks. I said yesterday that we […]
Ouch, that had to have hurt if you have been bearish for a few weeks. Still getting that 2013 type of market. Ride it until it doesn’t work is better than trying to time the end of it. First, if you haven’t checked out my pre-market interview this morning on Benzinga, check it out :-). […]
As part of my service I periodically tweet out market stats (such as breadth and what I am seeing etc) throughout the day. This morning I mentioned the bifurcation in the market as breadth was lower, SPX was moving lower (even taking out the lows of the day at one point), VIX was higher and yet […]
By no means is it easy for me to stay long. I can feel the anxiety everywhere and I can’t pretend it doesn’t affect me. Having said that it is also what helps me stay long. I sense most people are either 1) short 2) on the sidelines waiting for a pullback 3) very very […]
For the last couple weeks I have expressed that the market felt very much like 2013 and that I was bullish. Today confirmed that. If you were long, you were paid! Now things will probably get more difficult at least while some of these gains digest. However, for now I still think we have amazing set-ups […]
I got nothing exciting to say here. Good day, great week. Swings are finally working and paying. Locked in some gains today. ECB tomorrow. I have zero clue what will happen, but I will go with the path of least resistance until that changes. So I’m boolish. People seem pretty anxious right now (anecdotal) and I […]
Had an awesome day today. As I mentioned last week and over the weekend and in several tweets, I was seeing tons of great long swing set-ups in healthcare and industrials. I positioned myself nicely to benefit from them, which I have been since last week. So far this could still play out, which is what I wrote […]
I took a break from SassyMusings last week. I got lazy after having a 3-day’s off for Memorial day weekend. It happens :-). Nice day for the bulls. Morning was gross, but BTFD worked and for now I’m going with what is working. Had a couple good day trades in GS and GOOGL and put […]
Well well well, what do we have here? SPX once again remains in chop. Today was a good day and it’s because I stuck to my plan and didn’t let noise shake me out this morning (which I have done many times before). The morning was weak, but then we began to recover and I […]
Among many other things that I provide all week to my members, each weekend I post open interest and my thoughts. For those who have asked here is what I posted on Saturday before the week began. You can see many of them worked nicely if you new where the levels were. One thing I […]
Last week before the close I told my subscribers that I felt a nice gap up coming. I then wrote about my expectations for a bullish week to non subscribers here. So far that is looking good as well as the transportation and industrial sectors as I mentioned. Our entire watch list pretty much triggered […]
I am recycling pictures from last earnings. Honestly not sure why so many people went long TWTR before earnings. Not that I’m hating, but it wasn’t like they did anything meaningful to make me think metrics had changed. Plus even earnings beats have been beaten up this season. Anyway, if you are down, I am […]
We used to get V-shape reversals that lasted at least a couple weeks, now we have both the down and the up side of the V in one day. What’s interesting is that while the indices pretty much made up all today’s losses, many stocks that sold off this morning did not. If I counted […]
So we get a few flat days and then have big up/down days. They are getting less exciting. Where are we going from here? If you say you know then more power to you, but I don’t believe you. AMZN pretty much flat after earnings so far. Let’s see what the king of magic Bezo’s can […]
FB reported great earnings, but so far fairly muted response. It’s early. Do people really play ZNGA games still? I guess so. GILD had amazing earnings and only closed up 1.4%. So you could make the argument that the bull market is over. However, I would keep an open mind and say maybe the bull market […]
NFLX up a little right now (10 min after the close). Good earnings, good guidance and going to charge more for new subscribers soon. That should be good for the stock, but let’s see if people who didn’t get out above 400 sell into it or not. Will be a big market momo test. Day […]
Snoozefest today, which while it didn’t provide much intra-day opportunity was probably much needed after the recent volatility. The volatility will surely be back soon. GOOG or GOOGL (how annoying is that) paid per clips down and so far stock taking a hit. IBM as well. You think it affects the market tomorrow? I have no clue. TLT […]
The title is in reference to my post two days ago titled, Is That a Bounce or Are You About to Get Pounced. Yellen doesn’t get follow through love like Ben. Why an old lady would sign up for a job like that is beyond me. I’d rather retire somewhere and chill. So happy that […]
Fun day huh? I must thank Yellen for that pop we got to sell into. Essentially the Fed clarified backtracked out of that detailed description of rate hikes. As I mentioned yesterday, I think the brunt of the selling is over (for the time being). I don’t think all stocks blast to new highs like they […]
I don’t know, can we call today a bounce? It’s not a 2013 bounce, but hey a bounce is a bounce. Finacials still meh led by the big dog himself GS. Tech hung in there pretty well, but was somewhat bifurcated. Of course it was led down by the other dog herself AAPL. I […]
I know lame title cause it’s just too obvious. Deal with it. Follow through with some more downside is not bullish by the way (now I sound like Keith, yikes! I won’t do that again). So when will we get a good bounce? You know, reward the dip buyers, shake out the shorts, give CNBC […]
If you are watching the momentum stocks you may be wondering where all the money is going? Well, I see some select energy, semi’s, financials, and oh yes, old time tech. Which brings me to my…. Tweet of the day: I’m going to venture to say that won’t last all year. We either start rotating […]
And where do those roads lead? All time highs of course. Divergences, Shmivergences. We are back at all time highs! Woohoo Ok I’m exaggerating. Although we are at highs, it just doesn’t feel the same as it did last year does it? Well that is probably because there are a lot of laggards that aren’t […]
First day of the second quarter and money flowed in as expected. Of course it all flowed into a gap up, the very start of the day and the last 15 minutes of the day. SPX at new highs. A bit of recovery in the biotech’s and the momentum stocks. So far trend seems to […]
Please check out my latest piece on TheStreet today. Bulls Make Money, Bears Make Money, How Can Anybody Make Money Right now? Today: ZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ Once again we had the overnight lift, brought some hope back in, and crushed it. Except for the IWM, which was trading in its own world today. Anyone chasing those momo […]
If the market feels like it is biting your head off and eating it alive, you aren’t alone. The BEST thing to do is wait it out or at least trade very small. The momentum and bio stocks being beaten down is bearish, yet the indexes are doing a good job hiding that. So will […]
A lot of chop recently, shake’n’bake yesterday, and fly away today. Semiconductors (SMH) and Financials (XLF) going higher tends to be bullish for the overall market. Stay with the trend for now. Speaking of financials, they were a very nice gift today because as I posted yesterday I got long FAS and KRE call options […]
The key to surviving as a short term trader is adaptation. I came into this week with a more bearish bias as you can see here. After today’s gap up that managed to hold firm the entire day, I am more neutral and ready for whatever comes next. SPX managed to trade over the 1850 […]
Ugly day. If you have been following my blog all week, then you know I should have stuck to my original thesis, which is that we would get to 183 or 185. Alas, the market never makes things easy and I closed my puts yesterday morning. Today I tried some SPY calls a little below […]
Last night, here, I wrote this, “Either way I’m holding my swing longs (that haven’t stopped me out) and puts in SPY, WYNN, & NFLX. And for those of you that know me, you know that is rare.” This morning at 10:10 EST I wrote this: Right after that, I bought a couple things on sale, did some […]
First and foremost, I had my first contribution to TheStreet today. I have no idea if I will continue to write for them, but I thought I would give it at try. Will you do me a favor and click on it so that it gets some traffic please? My-Street-article-click-me. Thanks 🙂 As I mentioned […]
When TWTR was trading around the price of $40 back in December of 2013, I took to twitter and said that it was a good buying opportunity and that it would be chased higher very shortly. About a week later it began moving higher and in just a couple weeks was trading over $70. I […]
I started the week not having much conviction on many of the momentum stocks. That obviously changed Tuesday. I have been tracking FB calls across March and June and so far almost all the high open interest calls (many bought in blocks) are still there. After yesterday’s bullish day, I did get back in. AMZN […]
As I mentioned over the weekend here, we were short term overbought based on stocks over their 20-day MA. . You add that to geopolitical events and the uncertainty they create and you get a tough environment for stocks to move further up in. Although today didn’t necessarily “feel good,” for the bulls, it’s hard to […]
Sour ending to the day. Hello BIDU!!!! Woot. Dougie got really excited about the TSLA convertible note (I presume that was his reason for shorting the entire time whether he admits it or not). Unfortunately for him, it started going higher instead (face-plant). And! This from TSLA: sees 2020 Gigafactory Tesla vehicle volume about 500,000/year. TSLA […]
TSLA TSLA TSLA TSLA!!!!! Oh snap! My guess from last night was correct by 0.4% – SPY. FSLR taking away my halo….obviously it’s not a stock backed by #MagicalMusk. Very disappointing. I don’t know what the deal is with BIDU. Either no one is interested for a reason or everyone is too busy with TSLA TSLA […]
Call me crazy, but I’m near term cautious right now. If I had to guess I would say tomorrow will be a down day. If we get SPY 183 I will look for a possible entry to get long. And if instead we keep going higher tomorrow than it’s good I was just guessing. #neverwrong 😉 […]
TSLA squeezing the Dougie’s of the world. Had some intra-day drama in the markets today. Perhaps just working off some overbought froth. It was a bit concerning that we had a few large negative ticks. Let’s see…. So far most of my positions look good this week except for V. Loser stock right now, […]
I exited REGN, P, and DECK today. I got long BIDU today per my thoughts that I wrote about this weekend here. For better or worse, I am holding GRMN into earnings tomorrow. I will update those SPY 184 Calls and 90 QQQ calls by tomorrow morning via twitter. See here to know the context. […]
I took that title from @JBoorman so want to give credit where it’s due. He also got the tweet of the day today (different one – see below). This has been an AMAZING few days for the bulls. I would name off a ton of stocks that have exploded to the upside (many that I […]
What can I really say here? So far Yellen is hero #2 to the bulls. Whether this is a bull trap or not remains to be seen. Small caps and consumer discretionary are lagging, we may be overbought, but for now if it looks like a bull, smells like a bull, then…. I’m not going […]
Some market consolidation is a good thing after last weeks rally, but still not liking the underperformance of the small caps and financials. We’ll see. Fed Chairwoman Yellen will speak tomorrow to the House Financial Services Committee. It’s possible her words will be market moving, but the assumption is she isn’t going to say anything stunning…. […]
We had a little fake out this morning after the horrid jobs report. Today felt a little like 2013 didn’t it? Nice to have a little flashback Friday. I guess Ichan is going to be a hero again, AAPL. I am sick to my stomach for not buying options on PCLN this morning even though […]
Market made a new low and then had a decent bounce. Was it the bottom? Who knows. Tomorrow the ECB decides on rates and Friday is jobs #’s. Both can be catalysts. TWTR beat, but currently trading lower. We’ll see how long they stay in the penalty box for. P also beat and trading lower; […]
Apparently retailers are on strike this year….either that or they are all going to KORS. What a great pop…. It was backed by those #WiseGuys. See here to see where I mentioned it last week. AOL is back up so my thanks to anyone buying. Chart of the day: – it’s actually a table taken from this post that […]
Man, there was just no break from the selling today (and if you live in NYC) there was no break from the snowing. Both are annoying. Best thing to do today was the opposite of what I thought…should have shorted everything. Well I’m done looking for a bottom. Maybe it was today, maybe it wasn’t. […]
This post is more for me as a keepsake :-). http://blogs.marketwatch.com/thetell/2014/01/31/strategists-eyeball-these-sp-500-levels/
We have a very indecisive market right now and I’m staying light with my trades. Throughout the week I stated stocks that I took or am currently in. This is not an exhaustive list of everything I am holding, but I thought I would update the trades I highlighted in my previous posts in SassyMusings […]
Looks like a drone shot down AMZN; however, how many times have we seen that dip bought off of the conference call or by next day dip hunters? GOOG basically not doing anything for now. CMG, which ironically had the most bearish sentiment (via StockTwits), is flying high. Was the 4% correction enough? I don’t know, but […]
The Fed cut 10 billion as expected. Guess we have to rely on the economy now. Good news is good, bad is bad? Everyone sees and is waiting for the head and shoulders to play out right? Ok got it. Was just making sure. My ludicrous call from Monday night was a failure….we breached the […]
ES Futures are throwing a sucker punch to the bears tonight after Turkey announces overnight rate hikes to 12% up 4.25%. This could spur other countries to make similar moves which helps curb investor fears. Read here. Ichan saved AAPL from falling into the depths of hell today. Perhaps on his next date with Cook he […]
Ichan is currently playing darts with Tim Cook’s head. Doug finally got something right with his AAPL call (so far) and has been possessed by the gloating monster. Cat rose over 6% today and is trying to mind f$#k us by getting us to believe China isn’t THAT bad. Biotechs (IBB) fell to levels we […]
This is an ‘A’ set-up for me. On the daily chart it is just breaking out from a long consolidation period. On the weekly chart (below) you will see a volume pocket just above. Typically when a stock gets into a volume pocket it will quickly filly it. Earnings on Feb 12th. This is easy […]
A peek through Lulu – An anecdotal, fundamental and technical look. Is LULU truly transparent or are they actually diverging investors’ attention from their dwindling assetts. Annecdotal Lululemon was one of my first stock purchases. I bought it before I knew what PE meant, before I knew that technical analysis existed, and before I […]
Nobody wants to pay higher taxes, but since it’s likely inevitable, might as well look for a way to profit. I’m mostly a technical trader, but that doesn’t mean I ignore fundamentals or a good thesis for a stock to move higher. Below you will find some fundamental reasons, my own thesis, and technical reasons […]
Ready for Jobs #’s? + Open Interest AAPL, AMZN, FB, NFLX, TSLA
LNKD beat estimates, but guided lower and is currently being punished. Seems to be a theme so far this year. Not your 2013 market anymore. NFLX is up $4 due to an upgrade at the close. Tomorrow we find out if the SPY 181 call buyers were right (albeit maybe too early and will likely suffer […]
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