The best thing we did last week was not over trade. Looking back at last week, the opportunities with options were slim after the initial bounce early in the week. The IWM calls we bought were at a very good location, but unfortunately Friday turned into a pin day and there wasn’t any follow through yet....
We started the week with some great sells and then remained cautious getting too long because of what I described last week regarding the open interest. That served us very well on Wednesday when the market and many momentum stocks looked as if they were ready to go higher. I remember when tweeting that I...
In last weekends post I wrote about the market being oversold and discussed all the SPY open interest put support. That gave us an edge coming into the last weeks Monday morning gap down and we were able to have a solid week. The new quarter starts Monday and there is likely money that will flow into...
Last weekend my main idea was that the market would be slow and rangebound and patience would be our main motive. Admittedly, I did not see the drop on Tuesday coming; however, it was indeed slow and rangebound except for those few hours. The market is currently still in limbo and it is unclear yet how...
For the most part last week was more consolidation for SPX. It made a marginal higher low and then closed about five points higher than last week. It was a good week for trading and now that OPEX is over there will be less pinning to worry about. With that said, keep in mind that in...
I came into last week fully expecting things to be slow and rangebound till the Friday jobs number. I didn’t expect SPX to stay mostly at the bottom of the range, but it did stay in the range I projected. I was hoping for more out of Friday, but at this point I think the...
Although we made new highs last week we did not close near those highs Friday, which is a bit of a change in character. It’s too early to say that this current bull run is over, but for the first time in a while I think we are seeing cracks. In general I do believe...
After a gap up and then a couple days of consolidation, SPX once again made an all time closing high. The gap down Friday morning definitely led to some questions about the sustainability of the current bull run. I discussed two scenarios regarding that morning and fairly early on we figured out that the gap down was...
New highs again after closing at new highs last Friday. Last weekend I was cautious about what came next, but as I said then and will reiterate, the bulls still have the edge and until there is some evidence with price to doubt that, we continue to play the long side. The end of the...
Closing out at all time highs in QQQ’s and SPX is obviously bullish. Furthermore, there was actually follow through from Thursday which is something that we haven’t seen for a while. For now the trend is up and whether there are warning signs or not, until the trend is violated by price there is no...
Last week I discussed reasons to expect downside. Unfortunately it happened in a gap down, which limited our opportunities. Still the week turned out ok because we stayed on the right side and didn’t start thinking bearish. Throughout the week I showed that the bullish trend remained intact each day at the close and now...
Finally the range broke and I’m grateful to have been on the correct side of that. Since the range break on Wednesday SPX has traded sideways and thus, at the moment bulls are in control. With that said, there are some things you will read below that are of concern to bulls heading into next week...
Since 2017 began we have gotten a decent amount of intraday volatility and I believe that will likely continue over the next couple weeks as Trump is inaugurated and then begins to lay out details of his future policies. Next week is monthly OPEX so most of the open interest will not change much throughout the week. Breadth:...
After a couple months of very little follow through, 2017 finally gave some real good opportunities (so far). Great week to the start of the year with SPX and QQQ’s closing at all time highs. The best part about the current market is that it continues to stay relatively uncorrelated to the indexes. Should this...
Happy New Year! 2016, a year that predominately traded in in the same range that 2015 traded in, proved polls are useless, and did the opposite of what everyone anticipated for each major event. In the end though, SPX was finally able to move outside of its two year long range, which at the very least...
I had expected a slow week as I wrote about last weekend, but my expectations were exceeded. Completely dead all week. I don’t anticipate next week will be the same (at least not the first couple of days) but it doesn’t mean we will get tons of movement either so we need to also be...